Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,323 वॉल्यूम
91%
Democratic Party
$2,744 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,068समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,068समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean—held by the GOP since 1981—and his $1.2 million campaign war chest, signaling reelection strength amid limited national attention. Recent primary filings show Bentz facing two GOP challengers emphasizing rural affordability, while six Democrats vie in a fragmented May 19 primary, diluting opposition resources without standout fundraising or polling leads. This structural incumbency edge and historical margins sustain the lopsided odds. Rare shifts could arise from a Bentz primary upset, Democratic nominee surge, major scandal, or national midterm wave favoring challengers.
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