Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,187 वॉल्यूम
95%
Democratic Party
$4,650 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,837समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,837समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean since 1981, combined with its R+14 partisan voting index and Bentz's 64% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus near 94.5% for the Republican outcome. Strong fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand and ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets like Cook Political Report further reinforce positioning. A national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the gap, though the district's structural makeup limits realistic paths to a Democratic victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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