Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
PA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$13,793 वॉल्यूम
$13,793 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$13,793 वॉल्यूम
$13,793 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,891 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$5,902 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,793समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,793समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+50—in heavily Democratic North and West Philadelphia neighborhoods, where recent presidential and House races saw lopsided Democratic margins exceeding 80 points. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement created an open seat, but the upcoming May 19 Democratic primary among contenders like Sharif Street and Chris Rabb will yield a nominee favored to prevail in the November general election against a Republican challenger in this deep-blue stronghold. Recent candidate forums and profiles in the past week have highlighted primary dynamics without altering the general election outlook. Scenarios that could challenge this include a post-primary Democratic scandal, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a massive national Republican wave, though historical base rates for such safe seats show near-certain party retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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