Traders have priced in a 98% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, driven primarily by resilient Q1 GDP growth of 5% year-over-year and the central bank's April 20 decision to hold Loan Prime Rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Recent monetary policy reports emphasize a moderately loose stance with calibrated tools to maintain abundant liquidity and low financing costs, while global banks have scaled back rate-cut forecasts amid limited Middle East conflict spillovers and cooling inflation near 1.0%. This consensus reflects the PBOC's preference for stability given steady producer prices and credit demand signals. Potential challenges include softer-than-expected April lending data or an escalation in external risks ahead of the May 19-20 policy announcements, which could shift expectations toward easing if growth momentum falters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई में पीपुल्स बैंक ऑफ चाइना की दर में बदलाव?
मई में पीपुल्स बैंक ऑफ चाइना की दर में बदलाव?
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
2%
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
नया
नया
31 मई, 2026
Increase
$1,581 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No Change
$2,019 वॉल्यूम
98%
Decrease
$1,097 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders have priced in a 98% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, driven primarily by resilient Q1 GDP growth of 5% year-over-year and the central bank's April 20 decision to hold Loan Prime Rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Recent monetary policy reports emphasize a moderately loose stance with calibrated tools to maintain abundant liquidity and low financing costs, while global banks have scaled back rate-cut forecasts amid limited Middle East conflict spillovers and cooling inflation near 1.0%. This consensus reflects the PBOC's preference for stability given steady producer prices and credit demand signals. Potential challenges include softer-than-expected April lending data or an escalation in external risks ahead of the May 19-20 policy announcements, which could shift expectations toward easing if growth momentum falters.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,696समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders have priced in a 98% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, driven primarily by resilient Q1 GDP growth of 5% year-over-year and the central bank's April 20 decision to hold Loan Prime Rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Recent monetary policy reports emphasize a moderately loose stance with calibrated tools to maintain abundant liquidity and low financing costs, while global banks have scaled back rate-cut forecasts amid limited Middle East conflict spillovers and cooling inflation near 1.0%. This consensus reflects the PBOC's preference for stability given steady producer prices and credit demand signals. Potential challenges include softer-than-expected April lending data or an escalation in external risks ahead of the May 19-20 policy announcements, which could shift expectations toward easing if growth momentum falters.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$4,696समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced in a 98% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 2026, driven primarily by resilient Q1 GDP growth of 5% year-over-year and the central bank's April 20 decision to hold Loan Prime Rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Recent monetary policy reports emphasize a moderately loose stance with calibrated tools to maintain abundant liquidity and low financing costs, while global banks have scaled back rate-cut forecasts amid limited Middle East conflict spillovers and cooling inflation near 1.0%. This consensus reflects the PBOC's preference for stability given steady producer prices and credit demand signals. Potential challenges include softer-than-expected April lending data or an escalation in external risks ahead of the May 19-20 policy announcements, which could shift expectations toward easing if growth momentum falters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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