The 2026 State Duma elections, conducted September 18–20 amid tight Kremlin oversight and the exclusion of independent opposition such as Yabloko, position United Russia for a party-list result in the mid-50 percent range. Early official tallies reached 57 percent with roughly one-quarter of votes counted, while state exit polls showed 49–57 percent; turnout near 57 percent aligns with prior wartime mobilization efforts. Systemic parties that back the Ukraine campaign remain on the ballot, and electronic voting plus participation from annexed regions support consolidation around the 55–60 percent band. Kremlin-adjusted regional targets above 50 percent and the absence of credible challengers reinforce trader consensus on this interval over wider deviations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया55-60% 80%
50-55% 24%
60%+ 6.6%
45-50% <1%
नया
$29,907 वॉल्यूम
नया
$29,907 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
40% से कम
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
18%
55-60%
75%
60%+
7%
55-60% 80%
50-55% 24%
60%+ 6.6%
45-50% <1%
नया
$29,907 वॉल्यूम
नया
$29,907 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
40% से कम
$146 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-45%
$578 वॉल्यूम
<1%
45-50%
$4,800 वॉल्यूम
1%
50-55%
$7,378 वॉल्यूम
18%
55-60%
$4,650 वॉल्यूम
75%
60%+
$12,355 वॉल्यूम
7%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 State Duma elections, conducted September 18–20 amid tight Kremlin oversight and the exclusion of independent opposition such as Yabloko, position United Russia for a party-list result in the mid-50 percent range. Early official tallies reached 57 percent with roughly one-quarter of votes counted, while state exit polls showed 49–57 percent; turnout near 57 percent aligns with prior wartime mobilization efforts. Systemic parties that back the Ukraine campaign remain on the ballot, and electronic voting plus participation from annexed regions support consolidation around the 55–60 percent band. Kremlin-adjusted regional targets above 50 percent and the absence of credible challengers reinforce trader consensus on this interval over wider deviations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,907समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The 2026 State Duma elections, conducted September 18–20 amid tight Kremlin oversight and the exclusion of independent opposition such as Yabloko, position United Russia for a party-list result in the mid-50 percent range. Early official tallies reached 57 percent with roughly one-quarter of votes counted, while state exit polls showed 49–57 percent; turnout near 57 percent aligns with prior wartime mobilization efforts. Systemic parties that back the Ukraine campaign remain on the ballot, and electronic voting plus participation from annexed regions support consolidation around the 55–60 percent band. Kremlin-adjusted regional targets above 50 percent and the absence of credible challengers reinforce trader consensus on this interval over wider deviations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$29,907समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 State Duma elections, conducted September 18–20 amid tight Kremlin oversight and the exclusion of independent opposition such as Yabloko, position United Russia for a party-list result in the mid-50 percent range. Early official tallies reached 57 percent with roughly one-quarter of votes counted, while state exit polls showed 49–57 percent; turnout near 57 percent aligns with prior wartime mobilization efforts. Systemic parties that back the Ukraine campaign remain on the ballot, and electronic voting plus participation from annexed regions support consolidation around the 55–60 percent band. Kremlin-adjusted regional targets above 50 percent and the absence of credible challengers reinforce trader consensus on this interval over wider deviations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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