Recent polling ahead of the June 9 South Carolina Republican primary showed incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham holding leads of roughly 10 to 30 points over main challenger Mark Lynch, with Graham typically in the mid-to-high 40s and Lynch in the 20s to mid-30s across multiple surveys. This positioning left the projected margin of victory clustered near the 30–40 point range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Lynch’s self-funding and visibility among voters seeking an alternative sustained competitive pressure, while Graham’s established campaign infrastructure and party support prevented wider separation. Final certified results or late shifts in remaining precincts could still adjust the exact margin within or outside that band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासाउथ कैरोलिना सीनेट रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी: जीत का पहला राउंड मार्जिन
साउथ कैरोलिना सीनेट रिपब्लिकन प्राइमरी: जीत का पहला राउंड मार्जिन
ग्राहम 30–40% 40%
ग्राहम 20–30% 35%
ग्राहम <10% 2.1%
लिंच जीतते हैं 1.0%
$6,027 वॉल्यूम
$6,027 वॉल्यूम
9 जून, 2026
ग्राहम 50%+
1%
ग्राहम 40–50%
27%
ग्राहम 30–40%
50%
ग्राहम 20–30%
49%
ग्राहम 10–20%
8%
ग्राहम <10%
2%
लिंच जीतते हैं
1%
ग्राहम 30–40% 40%
ग्राहम 20–30% 35%
ग्राहम <10% 2.1%
लिंच जीतते हैं 1.0%
$6,027 वॉल्यूम
$6,027 वॉल्यूम
9 जून, 2026
ग्राहम 50%+
$961 वॉल्यूम
1%
ग्राहम 40–50%
$1,492 वॉल्यूम
27%
ग्राहम 30–40%
$196 वॉल्यूम
50%
ग्राहम 20–30%
$672 वॉल्यूम
49%
ग्राहम 10–20%
$842 वॉल्यूम
8%
ग्राहम <10%
$1,303 वॉल्यूम
2%
लिंच जीतते हैं
$562 वॉल्यूम
1%
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling ahead of the June 9 South Carolina Republican primary showed incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham holding leads of roughly 10 to 30 points over main challenger Mark Lynch, with Graham typically in the mid-to-high 40s and Lynch in the 20s to mid-30s across multiple surveys. This positioning left the projected margin of victory clustered near the 30–40 point range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Lynch’s self-funding and visibility among voters seeking an alternative sustained competitive pressure, while Graham’s established campaign infrastructure and party support prevented wider separation. Final certified results or late shifts in remaining precincts could still adjust the exact margin within or outside that band.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,027समाप्ति तिथि
9 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling ahead of the June 9 South Carolina Republican primary showed incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham holding leads of roughly 10 to 30 points over main challenger Mark Lynch, with Graham typically in the mid-to-high 40s and Lynch in the 20s to mid-30s across multiple surveys. This positioning left the projected margin of victory clustered near the 30–40 point range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Lynch’s self-funding and visibility among voters seeking an alternative sustained competitive pressure, while Graham’s established campaign infrastructure and party support prevented wider separation. Final certified results or late shifts in remaining precincts could still adjust the exact margin within or outside that band.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$6,027समाप्ति तिथि
9 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the June 9 South Carolina Republican primary showed incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham holding leads of roughly 10 to 30 points over main challenger Mark Lynch, with Graham typically in the mid-to-high 40s and Lynch in the 20s to mid-30s across multiple surveys. This positioning left the projected margin of victory clustered near the 30–40 point range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Lynch’s self-funding and visibility among voters seeking an alternative sustained competitive pressure, while Graham’s established campaign infrastructure and party support prevented wider separation. Final certified results or late shifts in remaining precincts could still adjust the exact margin within or outside that band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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