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Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

icon for Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

$1,303 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

$1,303 वॉल्यूम

Lateefah Simon

$1,105 वॉल्यूम

100%

Jamie Joyce

$199 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California’s 12th congressional district, secured first place in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 81% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce. As the sitting representative who assumed office in January 2025 following Barbara Lee, Simon benefited from established name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising and organizational edge in a heavily Democratic district. Joyce, a nonprofit executive, mounted a credible but distant campaign that failed to close the gap in polling or turnout. With results now certified and no viable path for reversal under state election procedures, trader consensus has aligned with the decisive outcome while noting the remote possibility of delayed recounts or legal challenges that have not materialized.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,303
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California’s 12th congressional district, secured first place in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 81% of the vote against challenger Jamie Joyce. As the sitting representative who assumed office in January 2025 following Barbara Lee, Simon benefited from established name recognition, institutional support, and a substantial fundraising and organizational edge in a heavily Democratic district. Joyce, a nonprofit executive, mounted a credible but distant campaign that failed to close the gap in polling or turnout. With results now certified and no viable path for reversal under state election procedures, trader consensus has aligned with the decisive outcome while noting the remote possibility of delayed recounts or legal challenges that have not materialized.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,303
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Lateefah Simon 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Jamie Joyce 0% पर है।

"Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, May 25, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Lateefah Simon" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Jamie Joyce" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।