Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29 and no Democratic victory since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger faces primary challengers on August 6, 2026, while three Democrats compete in their own primary, but forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. This positioning reflects consistent voter patterns in the northeast Tennessee counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals that could shift the race. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or a national political realignment could still create narrow openings, though both remain low-probability events given historical margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$19,686 वॉल्यूम
$19,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$19,686 वॉल्यूम
$19,686 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$14,414 वॉल्यूम
94%
Democratic Party
$5,272 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29 and no Democratic victory since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger faces primary challengers on August 6, 2026, while three Democrats compete in their own primary, but forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. This positioning reflects consistent voter patterns in the northeast Tennessee counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals that could shift the race. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or a national political realignment could still create narrow openings, though both remain low-probability events given historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29 and no Democratic victory since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger faces primary challengers on August 6, 2026, while three Democrats compete in their own primary, but forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. This positioning reflects consistent voter patterns in the northeast Tennessee counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals that could shift the race. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or a national political realignment could still create narrow openings, though both remain low-probability events given historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,686समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+29 and no Democratic victory since 1881. Incumbent Representative Diana Harshbarger faces primary challengers on August 6, 2026, while three Democrats compete in their own primary, but forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. This positioning reflects consistent voter patterns in the northeast Tennessee counties, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals that could shift the race. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset producing a weaker nominee or a national political realignment could still create narrow openings, though both remain low-probability events given historical margins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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