Incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales' April resignation amid a personal scandal opened Texas' 23rd Congressional District, an R+7 battleground spanning San Antonio suburbs to border counties with a majority Hispanic electorate, propelling GOP nominee Brandon Herrera— a gun rights advocate who tied Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary— to the general election against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, who won her primary with 52%. Herrera's fundraising edge ($1.5 million raised versus Stout's $238,000) and the district's rightward shift among Latino voters since 2021 redistricting underpin trader consensus implying a 69.5% Republican win probability, despite Democrats highlighting Herrera's past controversial online comments and a tight early March PPP poll (Herrera 42%, Stout 40%). Cook rates it Solid Republican, with national party spending eyed ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$16,579 वॉल्यूम
$16,579 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
26%
$16,579 वॉल्यूम
$16,579 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$9,336 वॉल्यूम
70%
Democratic Party
$7,243 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales' April resignation amid a personal scandal opened Texas' 23rd Congressional District, an R+7 battleground spanning San Antonio suburbs to border counties with a majority Hispanic electorate, propelling GOP nominee Brandon Herrera— a gun rights advocate who tied Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary— to the general election against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, who won her primary with 52%. Herrera's fundraising edge ($1.5 million raised versus Stout's $238,000) and the district's rightward shift among Latino voters since 2021 redistricting underpin trader consensus implying a 69.5% Republican win probability, despite Democrats highlighting Herrera's past controversial online comments and a tight early March PPP poll (Herrera 42%, Stout 40%). Cook rates it Solid Republican, with national party spending eyed ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,579समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales' April resignation amid a personal scandal opened Texas' 23rd Congressional District, an R+7 battleground spanning San Antonio suburbs to border counties with a majority Hispanic electorate, propelling GOP nominee Brandon Herrera— a gun rights advocate who tied Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary— to the general election against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, who won her primary with 52%. Herrera's fundraising edge ($1.5 million raised versus Stout's $238,000) and the district's rightward shift among Latino voters since 2021 redistricting underpin trader consensus implying a 69.5% Republican win probability, despite Democrats highlighting Herrera's past controversial online comments and a tight early March PPP poll (Herrera 42%, Stout 40%). Cook rates it Solid Republican, with national party spending eyed ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$16,579समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales' April resignation amid a personal scandal opened Texas' 23rd Congressional District, an R+7 battleground spanning San Antonio suburbs to border counties with a majority Hispanic electorate, propelling GOP nominee Brandon Herrera— a gun rights advocate who tied Gonzales at 42.5% in the March 3 primary— to the general election against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout, who won her primary with 52%. Herrera's fundraising edge ($1.5 million raised versus Stout's $238,000) and the district's rightward shift among Latino voters since 2021 redistricting underpin trader consensus implying a 69.5% Republican win probability, despite Democrats highlighting Herrera's past controversial online comments and a tight early March PPP poll (Herrera 42%, Stout 40%). Cook rates it Solid Republican, with national party spending eyed ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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