The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$31,480 वॉल्यूम
$31,480 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
32%
$31,480 वॉल्यूम
$31,480 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$17,989 वॉल्यूम
68%
Democratic Party
$13,492 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,480समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,480समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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