The primary catalyst anchoring near-certain trader consensus on 0.4–0.5% UK GDP growth QoQ for Q2 2026 is the Office for National Statistics preliminary estimate released August 13, confirming exactly 0.4% expansion, in line with economist forecasts after the 0.6% Q1 print. Services and consumer spending momentum, alongside stable labor market conditions, supported the outcome and aligned market-implied odds with the realized figure. While the preliminary release carries typical revision risk in subsequent quarterly national accounts, any material shift outside the 0.4–0.5% band would require substantial data adjustments not signaled in leading monthly indicators or consensus estimates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ2 2026 (QoQ) में यूके की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
Q2 2026 (QoQ) में यूके की जीडीपी वृद्धि?
0.4–0.5% 100.0%
नकारात्मक <1%
0.0–0.1% <1%
0.2–0.3% <1%
$35,535 वॉल्यूम
$35,535 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
नकारात्मक
नहीं
0.0–0.1%
नहीं
0.2–0.3%
नहीं
0.4–0.5%
हाँ
0.6–0.7%
नहीं
0.8–0.9%
नहीं
1.0%+
नहीं
0.4–0.5% 100.0%
नकारात्मक <1%
0.0–0.1% <1%
0.2–0.3% <1%
$35,535 वॉल्यूम
$35,535 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
नकारात्मक
$3,943 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
0.0–0.1%
$1,537 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
0.2–0.3%
$14,933 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
0.4–0.5%
$6,001 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
0.6–0.7%
$4,389 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
0.8–0.9%
$4,121 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.0%+
$610 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The primary catalyst anchoring near-certain trader consensus on 0.4–0.5% UK GDP growth QoQ for Q2 2026 is the Office for National Statistics preliminary estimate released August 13, confirming exactly 0.4% expansion, in line with economist forecasts after the 0.6% Q1 print. Services and consumer spending momentum, alongside stable labor market conditions, supported the outcome and aligned market-implied odds with the realized figure. While the preliminary release carries typical revision risk in subsequent quarterly national accounts, any material shift outside the 0.4–0.5% band would require substantial data adjustments not signaled in leading monthly indicators or consensus estimates.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: May 26, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,535समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The primary catalyst anchoring near-certain trader consensus on 0.4–0.5% UK GDP growth QoQ for Q2 2026 is the Office for National Statistics preliminary estimate released August 13, confirming exactly 0.4% expansion, in line with economist forecasts after the 0.6% Q1 print. Services and consumer spending momentum, alongside stable labor market conditions, supported the outcome and aligned market-implied odds with the realized figure. While the preliminary release carries typical revision risk in subsequent quarterly national accounts, any material shift outside the 0.4–0.5% band would require substantial data adjustments not signaled in leading monthly indicators or consensus estimates.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$35,535समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
The primary catalyst anchoring near-certain trader consensus on 0.4–0.5% UK GDP growth QoQ for Q2 2026 is the Office for National Statistics preliminary estimate released August 13, confirming exactly 0.4% expansion, in line with economist forecasts after the 0.6% Q1 print. Services and consumer spending momentum, alongside stable labor market conditions, supported the outcome and aligned market-implied odds with the realized figure. While the preliminary release carries typical revision risk in subsequent quarterly national accounts, any material shift outside the 0.4–0.5% band would require substantial data adjustments not signaled in leading monthly indicators or consensus estimates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न