**No failure by June 30 carries a 66% market-implied probability because the U.S. banking system has shown continued stability following two small resolutions earlier in 2026, with no visible signs of acute distress among institutions large enough to trigger systemic concerns in the remaining two weeks.** The FDIC closed Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust ($261 million assets) in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia ($288 million assets) in May; both were orderly, fully insured depositor transfers with minimal headline impact. Broader indicators, including the Federal Reserve’s June 9 announcement that 2026 stress-test results will publish June 24, point to generally adequate capital levels and contained commercial real-estate and credit risks. Recent supervisory reports describe headline resilience alongside targeted scrutiny of specific asset classes rather than widespread fragility. With only 16 days left, the short resolution window and absence of fresh deterioration in liquidity, deposit flows, or regulatory warnings support the current pricing of a low probability of an additional failure by month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
30 जून, 2026
नया
नया
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.**No failure by June 30 carries a 66% market-implied probability because the U.S. banking system has shown continued stability following two small resolutions earlier in 2026, with no visible signs of acute distress among institutions large enough to trigger systemic concerns in the remaining two weeks.**
The FDIC closed Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust ($261 million assets) in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia ($288 million assets) in May; both were orderly, fully insured depositor transfers with minimal headline impact. Broader indicators, including the Federal Reserve’s June 9 announcement that 2026 stress-test results will publish June 24, point to generally adequate capital levels and contained commercial real-estate and credit risks. Recent supervisory reports describe headline resilience alongside targeted scrutiny of specific asset classes rather than widespread fragility.
With only 16 days left, the short resolution window and absence of fresh deterioration in liquidity, deposit flows, or regulatory warnings support the current pricing of a low probability of an additional failure by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,063समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.**No failure by June 30 carries a 66% market-implied probability because the U.S. banking system has shown continued stability following two small resolutions earlier in 2026, with no visible signs of acute distress among institutions large enough to trigger systemic concerns in the remaining two weeks.**
The FDIC closed Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust ($261 million assets) in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia ($288 million assets) in May; both were orderly, fully insured depositor transfers with minimal headline impact. Broader indicators, including the Federal Reserve’s June 9 announcement that 2026 stress-test results will publish June 24, point to generally adequate capital levels and contained commercial real-estate and credit risks. Recent supervisory reports describe headline resilience alongside targeted scrutiny of specific asset classes rather than widespread fragility.
With only 16 days left, the short resolution window and absence of fresh deterioration in liquidity, deposit flows, or regulatory warnings support the current pricing of a low probability of an additional failure by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$7,063समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No failure by June 30 carries a 66% market-implied probability because the U.S. banking system has shown continued stability following two small resolutions earlier in 2026, with no visible signs of acute distress among institutions large enough to trigger systemic concerns in the remaining two weeks.** The FDIC closed Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust ($261 million assets) in January and Community Bank and Trust–West Georgia ($288 million assets) in May; both were orderly, fully insured depositor transfers with minimal headline impact. Broader indicators, including the Federal Reserve’s June 9 announcement that 2026 stress-test results will publish June 24, point to generally adequate capital levels and contained commercial real-estate and credit risks. Recent supervisory reports describe headline resilience alongside targeted scrutiny of specific asset classes rather than widespread fragility. With only 16 days left, the short resolution window and absence of fresh deterioration in liquidity, deposit flows, or regulatory warnings support the current pricing of a low probability of an additional failure by month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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