Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a temporary ceasefire framework to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while deferring core nuclear concessions. Iranian officials continue reviewing U.S. proposals for a short memorandum that leaves enrichment limits and stockpile transfers for later talks, yet negotiations have stalled over Tehran’s resistance to immediate curbs on uranium enrichment. U.S. demands for verifiable moratoriums remain unresolved amid mixed signals from both sides. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed progress on a comprehensive nuclear agreement, trader consensus assigns low probability to resolution by that date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$665,935 वॉल्यूम
$665,935 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
$665,935 वॉल्यूम
$665,935 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a temporary ceasefire framework to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while deferring core nuclear concessions. Iranian officials continue reviewing U.S. proposals for a short memorandum that leaves enrichment limits and stockpile transfers for later talks, yet negotiations have stalled over Tehran’s resistance to immediate curbs on uranium enrichment. U.S. demands for verifiable moratoriums remain unresolved amid mixed signals from both sides. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed progress on a comprehensive nuclear agreement, trader consensus assigns low probability to resolution by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$665,935समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a temporary ceasefire framework to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while deferring core nuclear concessions. Iranian officials continue reviewing U.S. proposals for a short memorandum that leaves enrichment limits and stockpile transfers for later talks, yet negotiations have stalled over Tehran’s resistance to immediate curbs on uranium enrichment. U.S. demands for verifiable moratoriums remain unresolved amid mixed signals from both sides. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed progress on a comprehensive nuclear agreement, trader consensus assigns low probability to resolution by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$665,935समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran have centered on a temporary ceasefire framework to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while deferring core nuclear concessions. Iranian officials continue reviewing U.S. proposals for a short memorandum that leaves enrichment limits and stockpile transfers for later talks, yet negotiations have stalled over Tehran’s resistance to immediate curbs on uranium enrichment. U.S. demands for verifiable moratoriums remain unresolved amid mixed signals from both sides. With the May 31 deadline approaching and no confirmed progress on a comprehensive nuclear agreement, trader consensus assigns low probability to resolution by that date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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