Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran over nuclear limits remain stalled on core issues including uranium enrichment rights, handover of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, and sanctions relief timelines. Recent proposals exchanged in April and early May 2026 show the U.S. seeking a long-term suspension of enrichment activities while Iran insists on retaining limited civilian enrichment capacity after any pause. Military strikes earlier this year and mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have not produced a breakthrough framework, leaving insufficient time for ratification before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on no deal reflects these persistent gaps and the absence of any scheduled summit or concession that could close them in the remaining weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$656,730 वॉल्यूम
$656,730 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
$656,730 वॉल्यूम
$656,730 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran over nuclear limits remain stalled on core issues including uranium enrichment rights, handover of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, and sanctions relief timelines. Recent proposals exchanged in April and early May 2026 show the U.S. seeking a long-term suspension of enrichment activities while Iran insists on retaining limited civilian enrichment capacity after any pause. Military strikes earlier this year and mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have not produced a breakthrough framework, leaving insufficient time for ratification before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on no deal reflects these persistent gaps and the absence of any scheduled summit or concession that could close them in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$656,730समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran over nuclear limits remain stalled on core issues including uranium enrichment rights, handover of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, and sanctions relief timelines. Recent proposals exchanged in April and early May 2026 show the U.S. seeking a long-term suspension of enrichment activities while Iran insists on retaining limited civilian enrichment capacity after any pause. Military strikes earlier this year and mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have not produced a breakthrough framework, leaving insufficient time for ratification before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on no deal reflects these persistent gaps and the absence of any scheduled summit or concession that could close them in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$656,730समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran over nuclear limits remain stalled on core issues including uranium enrichment rights, handover of Iran's highly enriched stockpile, and sanctions relief timelines. Recent proposals exchanged in April and early May 2026 show the U.S. seeking a long-term suspension of enrichment activities while Iran insists on retaining limited civilian enrichment capacity after any pause. Military strikes earlier this year and mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have not produced a breakthrough framework, leaving insufficient time for ratification before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 91.5% implied probability on no deal reflects these persistent gaps and the absence of any scheduled summit or concession that could close them in the remaining weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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