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icon for 2027 से पहले अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?

2027 से पहले अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?

icon for 2027 से पहले अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?

2027 से पहले अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?

मई 31

जून 30

दिस 31

मई 31

जून 30

दिस 31

हाँ

59% संभावना
Polymarket

$1,328,822 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

59% संभावना
Polymarket

$1,328,822 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have advanced with Tehran reviewing a new American proposal for a one-page memorandum addressing sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and deferred nuclear curbs. Indirect talks resumed in February 2026 following Iranian protests and U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, yielding progress on some issues while enrichment limits and verification remain sticking points. President Trump has emphasized securing terms stricter than the 2015 JCPOA, with ongoing diplomatic exchanges through May 2026 sustaining trader expectations of a deal before the 2027 deadline despite unresolved technical hurdles and historical setbacks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$1,328,822
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have advanced with Tehran reviewing a new American proposal for a one-page memorandum addressing sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and deferred nuclear curbs. Indirect talks resumed in February 2026 following Iranian protests and U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, yielding progress on some issues while enrichment limits and verification remain sticking points. President Trump has emphasized securing terms stricter than the 2015 JCPOA, with ongoing diplomatic exchanges through May 2026 sustaining trader expectations of a deal before the 2027 deadline despite unresolved technical hurdles and historical setbacks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$1,328,822
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"2027 से पहले अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 2027 से पहले अमेरिका-ईरान परमाणु समझौता? 59% (59¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

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