Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$14,937 वॉल्यूम
$14,937 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
53%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
27%
$14,937 वॉल्यूम
$14,937 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,104 वॉल्यूम
53%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,833 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,937समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,937समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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