Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,931 वॉल्यूम
$32,931 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
31%
$32,931 वॉल्यूम
$32,931 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,776 वॉल्यूम
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,155 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,931समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,931समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner holds a strong position in Washington’s 5th congressional district, a solidly Republican area in eastern Washington that he won by over 20 points in 2024. Recent primary results from August 4 showed Baumgartner advancing comfortably ahead of Democratic contenders, including Carmela Conroy, while independent Nate Powell trailed. Polling from late May indicated Baumgartner leading top Democrats by roughly six points in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and early-campaign factors.
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