Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan lean and is held by freshman Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who assumed office in January 2025. This structural advantage and the benefits of incumbency underpin the Republican Party's 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Carmela Conroy, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, yet no polling or fundraising surge has shifted the race into competitive territory. Traders appear to weigh the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in eastern Washington against any potential national midterm dynamics, with limited recent developments altering the baseline assessment ahead of the November 2026 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -05 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,109 वॉल्यूम
$32,109 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
67%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
34%
$32,109 वॉल्यूम
$32,109 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,041 वॉल्यूम
67%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,067 वॉल्यूम
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan lean and is held by freshman Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who assumed office in January 2025. This structural advantage and the benefits of incumbency underpin the Republican Party's 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Carmela Conroy, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, yet no polling or fundraising surge has shifted the race into competitive territory. Traders appear to weigh the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in eastern Washington against any potential national midterm dynamics, with limited recent developments altering the baseline assessment ahead of the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,109समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan lean and is held by freshman Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who assumed office in January 2025. This structural advantage and the benefits of incumbency underpin the Republican Party's 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Carmela Conroy, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, yet no polling or fundraising surge has shifted the race into competitive territory. Traders appear to weigh the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in eastern Washington against any potential national midterm dynamics, with limited recent developments altering the baseline assessment ahead of the November 2026 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,109समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan lean and is held by freshman Republican incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who assumed office in January 2025. This structural advantage and the benefits of incumbency underpin the Republican Party's 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Carmela Conroy, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, yet no polling or fundraising surge has shifted the race into competitive territory. Traders appear to weigh the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in eastern Washington against any potential national midterm dynamics, with limited recent developments altering the baseline assessment ahead of the November 2026 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न