President Donald Trump’s recent Truth Social activity centers on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in March 2026, with frequent updates on military strikes, naval losses, sanctions, and diplomatic overtures. In the past week he has posted about offering Tehran a “fair and reasonable” deal while warning of further action if rejected, alongside remarks that preventing Iranian nuclear weapons remains his sole priority. Traders are also watching for references to related issues such as China trade talks, scheduled executive orders, or domestic economic fallout from higher oil prices. Historical patterns show Trump typically amplifies breaking developments from the Middle East in real time, making any new military, diplomatic, or negotiation milestones the dominant driver of expected content through May 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTrust
33%
Game
37%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
48%
King
38%
ICE
40%
No cards / All the cards
15%
Epstein
6%
Baby
39%
UFC
42%
Coal
19%
Crypto / Bitcoin
14%
Virus
5%
Football
7%
Brazil
11%
$7,602 वॉल्यूम
Trust
33%
Game
37%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
48%
King
38%
ICE
40%
No cards / All the cards
15%
Epstein
6%
Baby
39%
UFC
42%
Coal
19%
Crypto / Bitcoin
14%
Virus
5%
Football
7%
Brazil
11%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s recent Truth Social activity centers on the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in March 2026, with frequent updates on military strikes, naval losses, sanctions, and diplomatic overtures. In the past week he has posted about offering Tehran a “fair and reasonable” deal while warning of further action if rejected, alongside remarks that preventing Iranian nuclear weapons remains his sole priority. Traders are also watching for references to related issues such as China trade talks, scheduled executive orders, or domestic economic fallout from higher oil prices. Historical patterns show Trump typically amplifies breaking developments from the Middle East in real time, making any new military, diplomatic, or negotiation milestones the dominant driver of expected content through May 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न