Recent cabinet turnover, including the exits of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer, has elevated expectations of further reshuffling in the Trump administration. Trader consensus places Tulsi Gabbard in the lead at 38 percent amid reports of White House pressure over intelligence assessments tied to the Iran conflict and deputy-level frictions. Howard Lutnick follows closely at 31 percent due to renewed congressional scrutiny of his Epstein connections and bipartisan calls for his departure. Chris Wright sits near 31 percent as energy prices fluctuate with ongoing foreign policy developments, despite official praise for his performance. The tight spread among these outcomes and the 25 percent chance of no exit before 2027 reflects uncertainty over timing, potential loyalty signals, and institutional pushback in Senate confirmation processes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTulsi Gabbard 39%
Howard Lutnick 31.4%
None before 2027 25%
Scott Bessent 13.9%
$11,675 वॉल्यूम
$11,675 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
39%
Howard Lutnick
31%
None before 2027
25%
Scott Bessent
14%
Susie Wiles
24%
Marco Rubio
23%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Brooke Rollins
3%
John Ratcliffe
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Russell T. Vought
2%
Scott Turner
1%
Mike Waltz
1%
Lee Zeldin
1%
Doug Burgum
1%
Doug Collins
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
<1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Chris Wright
32%
Tulsi Gabbard 39%
Howard Lutnick 31.4%
None before 2027 25%
Scott Bessent 13.9%
$11,675 वॉल्यूम
$11,675 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
$3,210 वॉल्यूम
39%
Howard Lutnick
$2,009 वॉल्यूम
31%
None before 2027
$223 वॉल्यूम
25%
Scott Bessent
$233 वॉल्यूम
14%
Susie Wiles
$326 वॉल्यूम
24%
Marco Rubio
$294 वॉल्यूम
23%
Pete Hegseth
$628 वॉल्यूम
4%
Brooke Rollins
$218 वॉल्यूम
3%
John Ratcliffe
$259 वॉल्यूम
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$333 वॉल्यूम
2%
J.D. Vance
$415 वॉल्यूम
2%
Russell T. Vought
$268 वॉल्यूम
2%
Scott Turner
$352 वॉल्यूम
1%
Mike Waltz
$270 वॉल्यूम
1%
Lee Zeldin
$294 वॉल्यूम
1%
Doug Burgum
$281 वॉल्यूम
1%
Doug Collins
$318 वॉल्यूम
1%
Linda McMahon
$321 वॉल्यूम
1%
Sean Duffy
$325 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
$475 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$233 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Chris Wright
$390 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the exits of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer, has elevated expectations of further reshuffling in the Trump administration. Trader consensus places Tulsi Gabbard in the lead at 38 percent amid reports of White House pressure over intelligence assessments tied to the Iran conflict and deputy-level frictions. Howard Lutnick follows closely at 31 percent due to renewed congressional scrutiny of his Epstein connections and bipartisan calls for his departure. Chris Wright sits near 31 percent as energy prices fluctuate with ongoing foreign policy developments, despite official praise for his performance. The tight spread among these outcomes and the 25 percent chance of no exit before 2027 reflects uncertainty over timing, potential loyalty signals, and institutional pushback in Senate confirmation processes.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,675समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the exits of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer, has elevated expectations of further reshuffling in the Trump administration. Trader consensus places Tulsi Gabbard in the lead at 38 percent amid reports of White House pressure over intelligence assessments tied to the Iran conflict and deputy-level frictions. Howard Lutnick follows closely at 31 percent due to renewed congressional scrutiny of his Epstein connections and bipartisan calls for his departure. Chris Wright sits near 31 percent as energy prices fluctuate with ongoing foreign policy developments, despite official praise for his performance. The tight spread among these outcomes and the 25 percent chance of no exit before 2027 reflects uncertainty over timing, potential loyalty signals, and institutional pushback in Senate confirmation processes.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$11,675समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cabinet turnover, including the exits of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer, has elevated expectations of further reshuffling in the Trump administration. Trader consensus places Tulsi Gabbard in the lead at 38 percent amid reports of White House pressure over intelligence assessments tied to the Iran conflict and deputy-level frictions. Howard Lutnick follows closely at 31 percent due to renewed congressional scrutiny of his Epstein connections and bipartisan calls for his departure. Chris Wright sits near 31 percent as energy prices fluctuate with ongoing foreign policy developments, despite official praise for his performance. The tight spread among these outcomes and the 25 percent chance of no exit before 2027 reflects uncertainty over timing, potential loyalty signals, and institutional pushback in Senate confirmation processes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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