The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel over alleged violations of the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder set for May 2029. Multiple states have filed interventions, including the United States defending Israel’s position on the legal standard. The ICC has issued arrest warrants against Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity but has not pursued genocide charges. These extended procedural timelines, combined with the absence of any final merits ruling on genocide, underpin traders’ strong consensus that an international court is unlikely to deliver a conviction by the end of 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13% संभावना
$99,211 वॉल्यूम
$99,211 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
13% संभावना
$99,211 वॉल्यूम
$99,211 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel over alleged violations of the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder set for May 2029. Multiple states have filed interventions, including the United States defending Israel’s position on the legal standard. The ICC has issued arrest warrants against Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity but has not pursued genocide charges. These extended procedural timelines, combined with the absence of any final merits ruling on genocide, underpin traders’ strong consensus that an international court is unlikely to deliver a conviction by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$99,211समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel over alleged violations of the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder set for May 2029. Multiple states have filed interventions, including the United States defending Israel’s position on the legal standard. The ICC has issued arrest warrants against Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity but has not pursued genocide charges. These extended procedural timelines, combined with the absence of any final merits ruling on genocide, underpin traders’ strong consensus that an international court is unlikely to deliver a conviction by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$99,211समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ case brought by South Africa against Israel over alleged violations of the Genocide Convention remains in the written pleadings phase, with South Africa’s reply due in November 2027 and Israel’s rejoinder set for May 2029. Multiple states have filed interventions, including the United States defending Israel’s position on the legal standard. The ICC has issued arrest warrants against Israeli officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity but has not pursued genocide charges. These extended procedural timelines, combined with the absence of any final merits ruling on genocide, underpin traders’ strong consensus that an international court is unlikely to deliver a conviction by the end of 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न