Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas fails to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF maintains control over roughly 60-70% of the territory along shifting lines, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, and has fortified positions while preparing contingency plans that include operations in Gaza City. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand prepared to “finish the job” and pursue additional measures should voluntary disarmament not occur. Hamas retains armed presence and governance capacity in remaining areas, with reported ceasefire violations continuing. Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for October 27 add political pressure, as parties debate the pace of any renewed offensive amid stalled diplomatic efforts on reconstruction and demilitarization.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$758,642 वॉल्यूम
30 अक्टू, 2025
31 दिसंबर
9%
$758,642 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$109,011 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas fails to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF maintains control over roughly 60-70% of the territory along shifting lines, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, and has fortified positions while preparing contingency plans that include operations in Gaza City. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand prepared to “finish the job” and pursue additional measures should voluntary disarmament not occur. Hamas retains armed presence and governance capacity in remaining areas, with reported ceasefire violations continuing. Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for October 27 add political pressure, as parties debate the pace of any renewed offensive amid stalled diplomatic efforts on reconstruction and demilitarization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$758,642समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas fails to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF maintains control over roughly 60-70% of the territory along shifting lines, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, and has fortified positions while preparing contingency plans that include operations in Gaza City. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand prepared to “finish the job” and pursue additional measures should voluntary disarmament not occur. Hamas retains armed presence and governance capacity in remaining areas, with reported ceasefire violations continuing. Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for October 27 add political pressure, as parties debate the pace of any renewed offensive amid stalled diplomatic efforts on reconstruction and demilitarization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$758,642समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume large-scale ground operations in Gaza if Hamas fails to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF maintains control over roughly 60-70% of the territory along shifting lines, conducts frequent targeted strikes on Hamas commanders, and has fortified positions while preparing contingency plans that include operations in Gaza City. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand prepared to “finish the job” and pursue additional measures should voluntary disarmament not occur. Hamas retains armed presence and governance capacity in remaining areas, with reported ceasefire violations continuing. Israeli parliamentary elections scheduled for October 27 add political pressure, as parties debate the pace of any renewed offensive amid stalled diplomatic efforts on reconstruction and demilitarization.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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