The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal, driven by its push for greater production flexibility amid regional tensions and capacity expansion goals, has not prompted parallel exits by remaining members. OPEC+ statements through July 2026 show Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and others reaffirming coordinated output adjustments and market stability commitments, with no new quota disputes or official announcements signaling further departures. This stability, alongside the absence of comparable economic or geopolitical pressures on other producers in the second half of the year, underpins trader consensus that additional exits are unlikely before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8% संभावना
$160,131 वॉल्यूम
$160,131 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
8% संभावना
$160,131 वॉल्यूम
$160,131 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal, driven by its push for greater production flexibility amid regional tensions and capacity expansion goals, has not prompted parallel exits by remaining members. OPEC+ statements through July 2026 show Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and others reaffirming coordinated output adjustments and market stability commitments, with no new quota disputes or official announcements signaling further departures. This stability, alongside the absence of comparable economic or geopolitical pressures on other producers in the second half of the year, underpins trader consensus that additional exits are unlikely before December 31.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$160,131समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal, driven by its push for greater production flexibility amid regional tensions and capacity expansion goals, has not prompted parallel exits by remaining members. OPEC+ statements through July 2026 show Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and others reaffirming coordinated output adjustments and market stability commitments, with no new quota disputes or official announcements signaling further departures. This stability, alongside the absence of comparable economic or geopolitical pressures on other producers in the second half of the year, underpins trader consensus that additional exits are unlikely before December 31.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$160,131समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE's May 2026 withdrawal, driven by its push for greater production flexibility amid regional tensions and capacity expansion goals, has not prompted parallel exits by remaining members. OPEC+ statements through July 2026 show Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and others reaffirming coordinated output adjustments and market stability commitments, with no new quota disputes or official announcements signaling further departures. This stability, alongside the absence of comparable economic or geopolitical pressures on other producers in the second half of the year, underpins trader consensus that additional exits are unlikely before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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