Trader consensus pricing "No" at 61% reflects the absence of verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026, despite ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes. South Africa's January declaration of Israel's chargé d'affaires persona non grata and Spain's March permanent withdrawal of its own envoy to Israel marked earlier tensions, but no escalations to full ambassador expulsions have followed. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14 signal de-escalation efforts, while economic ties and NATO/EU alliances deter major powers from such moves before year-end, though UN General Assembly sessions could introduce volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या कोई देश 31 दिसंबर तक किसी इजरायली राजदूत को निष्कासित कर देगा?
हाँ
$28,988 वॉल्यूम
$28,988 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$28,988 वॉल्यूम
$28,988 वॉल्यूम
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus pricing "No" at 61% reflects the absence of verified expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026, despite ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes. South Africa's January declaration of Israel's chargé d'affaires persona non grata and Spain's March permanent withdrawal of its own envoy to Israel marked earlier tensions, but no escalations to full ambassador expulsions have followed. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14 signal de-escalation efforts, while economic ties and NATO/EU alliances deter major powers from such moves before year-end, though UN General Assembly sessions could introduce volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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