Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year streak of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent supply chain leaks confirming trial production for iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible reports from Bloomberg and analysts detail fall 2026 debuts for the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and anticipated foldable iPhone Ultra, featuring rumored upgrades like shrunken Dynamic Island, new Dark Cherry color, A20 chip, and enhanced AI capabilities, solidifying expectations despite early-2026 rumors of a base model delay to spring 2027. While strong, this near-unanimous sentiment could face challenges from unprecedented supply disruptions, foldable tech setbacks, or a broader strategic pivot by incoming CEO John Ternus, though Apple's history suggests resilience ahead of the pivotal September event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$96,027 वॉल्यूम
$96,027 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$96,027 वॉल्यूम
$96,027 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year streak of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent supply chain leaks confirming trial production for iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible reports from Bloomberg and analysts detail fall 2026 debuts for the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and anticipated foldable iPhone Ultra, featuring rumored upgrades like shrunken Dynamic Island, new Dark Cherry color, A20 chip, and enhanced AI capabilities, solidifying expectations despite early-2026 rumors of a base model delay to spring 2027. While strong, this near-unanimous sentiment could face challenges from unprecedented supply disruptions, foldable tech setbacks, or a broader strategic pivot by incoming CEO John Ternus, though Apple's history suggests resilience ahead of the pivotal September event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$96,027समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year streak of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent supply chain leaks confirming trial production for iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible reports from Bloomberg and analysts detail fall 2026 debuts for the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and anticipated foldable iPhone Ultra, featuring rumored upgrades like shrunken Dynamic Island, new Dark Cherry color, A20 chip, and enhanced AI capabilities, solidifying expectations despite early-2026 rumors of a base model delay to spring 2027. While strong, this near-unanimous sentiment could face challenges from unprecedented supply disruptions, foldable tech setbacks, or a broader strategic pivot by incoming CEO John Ternus, though Apple's history suggests resilience ahead of the pivotal September event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$96,027समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95% implied probability to Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year streak of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent supply chain leaks confirming trial production for iPhone 18 Pro models. Credible reports from Bloomberg and analysts detail fall 2026 debuts for the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and anticipated foldable iPhone Ultra, featuring rumored upgrades like shrunken Dynamic Island, new Dark Cherry color, A20 chip, and enhanced AI capabilities, solidifying expectations despite early-2026 rumors of a base model delay to spring 2027. While strong, this near-unanimous sentiment could face challenges from unprecedented supply disruptions, foldable tech setbacks, or a broader strategic pivot by incoming CEO John Ternus, though Apple's history suggests resilience ahead of the pivotal September event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न