Canada’s federal government has maintained tight immigration controls through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while slashing new temporary resident targets by more than 40 percent from 2025 levels. This policy, aimed at reducing the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent, has produced sustained net outflows of international students and temporary workers, driving three consecutive quarters of population decline by Q1 2026 according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and private-sector forecasts anticipate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as outflows continue, marking the second straight year of contraction after the first recorded annual drop in modern history. These verified policy settings and demographic data underpin trader consensus around an outsized 2026 decline relative to prior decades.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
84% संभावना
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
84% संभावना
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained tight immigration controls through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while slashing new temporary resident targets by more than 40 percent from 2025 levels. This policy, aimed at reducing the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent, has produced sustained net outflows of international students and temporary workers, driving three consecutive quarters of population decline by Q1 2026 according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and private-sector forecasts anticipate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as outflows continue, marking the second straight year of contraction after the first recorded annual drop in modern history. These verified policy settings and demographic data underpin trader consensus around an outsized 2026 decline relative to prior decades.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained tight immigration controls through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while slashing new temporary resident targets by more than 40 percent from 2025 levels. This policy, aimed at reducing the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent, has produced sustained net outflows of international students and temporary workers, driving three consecutive quarters of population decline by Q1 2026 according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and private-sector forecasts anticipate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as outflows continue, marking the second straight year of contraction after the first recorded annual drop in modern history. These verified policy settings and demographic data underpin trader consensus around an outsized 2026 decline relative to prior decades.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has maintained tight immigration controls through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while slashing new temporary resident targets by more than 40 percent from 2025 levels. This policy, aimed at reducing the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent, has produced sustained net outflows of international students and temporary workers, driving three consecutive quarters of population decline by Q1 2026 according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections and private-sector forecasts anticipate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as outflows continue, marking the second straight year of contraction after the first recorded annual drop in modern history. These verified policy settings and demographic data underpin trader consensus around an outsized 2026 decline relative to prior decades.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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