Recent U.S.-led diplomacy centers on Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals under a post-ceasefire framework, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting key elements of the latest 15-point plan on August 9, 2026, and stating forces will remain until Hamas is fully disarmed. Limited Israeli airstrikes resumed in mid-August targeting Hamas operatives, the first in over a week, while maintaining control over roughly two-thirds of the territory. These developments, alongside scheduled follow-up talks involving U.S. officials, shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk by signaling diplomatic momentum offset by persistent security demands and enforcement actions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$750,257 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2025
31 दिसंबर
15%
$750,257 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$100,626 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-led diplomacy centers on Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals under a post-ceasefire framework, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting key elements of the latest 15-point plan on August 9, 2026, and stating forces will remain until Hamas is fully disarmed. Limited Israeli airstrikes resumed in mid-August targeting Hamas operatives, the first in over a week, while maintaining control over roughly two-thirds of the territory. These developments, alongside scheduled follow-up talks involving U.S. officials, shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk by signaling diplomatic momentum offset by persistent security demands and enforcement actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$750,257समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-led diplomacy centers on Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals under a post-ceasefire framework, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting key elements of the latest 15-point plan on August 9, 2026, and stating forces will remain until Hamas is fully disarmed. Limited Israeli airstrikes resumed in mid-August targeting Hamas operatives, the first in over a week, while maintaining control over roughly two-thirds of the territory. These developments, alongside scheduled follow-up talks involving U.S. officials, shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk by signaling diplomatic momentum offset by persistent security demands and enforcement actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$750,257समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-led diplomacy centers on Hamas disarmament and phased Israeli withdrawals under a post-ceasefire framework, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting key elements of the latest 15-point plan on August 9, 2026, and stating forces will remain until Hamas is fully disarmed. Limited Israeli airstrikes resumed in mid-August targeting Hamas operatives, the first in over a week, while maintaining control over roughly two-thirds of the territory. These developments, alongside scheduled follow-up talks involving U.S. officials, shape trader assessments of near-term escalation risk by signaling diplomatic momentum offset by persistent security demands and enforcement actions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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