Trader consensus at 98.5% against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 stems from the couple's decades-long marriage since 1987, absence of any public reports or credible signals of discord, and China's tightly controlled information environment around senior leaders' personal lives. Institutional norms further discourage high-profile separations that could affect political stability or public perception of the paramount leader. Peng Liyuan continues visible diplomatic and ceremonial roles alongside Xi, with no recent developments suggesting change. While sudden health events, undisclosed personal matters, or late-breaking announcements could theoretically alter the outcome, historical precedent and information controls render such shifts improbable in the short resolution window through December 2026.