On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan
"Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "July 1" di 71%, diikuti oleh "June 26" di 57%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" telah menghasilkan $1.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" adalah "July 1" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "June 26" di 57%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $1.1 million diperdagangkan pada "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 71¢ untuk "July 1" di pasar "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 71% bahwa "July 1" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 71¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 29¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" dijadwalkan diselesaikan pada atau sekitar Jul 1, 2026. Ini berarti trading akan tetap terbuka dan peluang akan terus bergeser saat informasi baru muncul sampai tanggal tersebut. Waktu resolusi tepat tergantung pada kapan hasil resmi tersedia, seperti diuraikan di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini.
Pasar "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" memiliki komunitas aktif dengan 88 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan