Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons' commanding position in the 2026 Delaware U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory, reflecting the state's unbroken Democratic Senate hold since 2001 and its consistent support for Democrats in recent cycles, including a double-digit presidential margin for Kamala Harris. Recent candidate filings as of early May confirm Coons faces token primary opposition on September 15, while Republicans lack a high-profile challenger capable of competing in this deep-blue state. Odds remain elevated due to incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though late-breaking scenarios like a Coons scandal, health issue, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiDelaware Senate Election Winner
Delaware Senate Election Winner
$11,557 Vol.
$11,557 Vol.

Democrat
93%

Republican
7%
$11,557 Vol.
$11,557 Vol.

Democrat
93%

Republican
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons' commanding position in the 2026 Delaware U.S. Senate race drives trader consensus implying a 93.5% probability of a Democratic victory, reflecting the state's unbroken Democratic Senate hold since 2001 and its consistent support for Democrats in recent cycles, including a double-digit presidential margin for Kamala Harris. Recent candidate filings as of early May confirm Coons faces token primary opposition on September 15, while Republicans lack a high-profile challenger capable of competing in this deep-blue state. Odds remain elevated due to incumbency advantages and historical base rates for safe seats, though late-breaking scenarios like a Coons scandal, health issue, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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