Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued Elon Musk posting volume for May 14-16 at under 40 posts (50.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (37.5%), reflecting his recent quiet streak and ongoing travel disruptions. Elon posted just 5 times through early May 11-13, a sharp drop from prior weeks' 100+ tallies, as he boarded Air Force One with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang for a high-profile China trip announced May 13—likely curtailing X activity amid jet lag, meetings, and spotty connectivity despite Starlink. Historical patterns show spikes during feuds or launches, but no major catalysts loom; traders eye trip duration and any Tesla/xAI news as swing factors before the May 17 resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<40 51%
40-64 38%
65-89 9%
90-114 2.1%
$202,572 Vol.
$202,572 Vol.
May 16, 2026
<40
51%
40-64
38%
65-89
9%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 51%
40-64 38%
65-89 9%
90-114 2.1%
$202,572 Vol.
$202,572 Vol.
May 16, 2026
<40
$41,005 Vol.
51%
40-64
$12,716 Vol.
38%
65-89
$46,342 Vol.
9%
90-114
$11,545 Vol.
2%
115-139
$10,065 Vol.
1%
140-164
$9,011 Vol.
1%
165-189
$18,910 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$16,078 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,766 Vol.
<1%
240+
$21,146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued Elon Musk posting volume for May 14-16 at under 40 posts (50.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (37.5%), reflecting his recent quiet streak and ongoing travel disruptions. Elon posted just 5 times through early May 11-13, a sharp drop from prior weeks' 100+ tallies, as he boarded Air Force One with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang for a high-profile China trip announced May 13—likely curtailing X activity amid jet lag, meetings, and spotty connectivity despite Starlink. Historical patterns show spikes during feuds or launches, but no major catalysts loom; traders eye trip duration and any Tesla/xAI news as swing factors before the May 17 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$202,572Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued Elon Musk posting volume for May 14-16 at under 40 posts (50.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (37.5%), reflecting his recent quiet streak and ongoing travel disruptions. Elon posted just 5 times through early May 11-13, a sharp drop from prior weeks' 100+ tallies, as he boarded Air Force One with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang for a high-profile China trip announced May 13—likely curtailing X activity amid jet lag, meetings, and spotty connectivity despite Starlink. Historical patterns show spikes during feuds or launches, but no major catalysts loom; traders eye trip duration and any Tesla/xAI news as swing factors before the May 17 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$202,572Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a subdued Elon Musk posting volume for May 14-16 at under 40 posts (50.5% implied probability) and 40-64 (37.5%), reflecting his recent quiet streak and ongoing travel disruptions. Elon posted just 5 times through early May 11-13, a sharp drop from prior weeks' 100+ tallies, as he boarded Air Force One with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang for a high-profile China trip announced May 13—likely curtailing X activity amid jet lag, meetings, and spotty connectivity despite Starlink. Historical patterns show spikes during feuds or launches, but no major catalysts loom; traders eye trip duration and any Tesla/xAI news as swing factors before the May 17 resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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