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icon for Pemenang Eurovision 2026

Pemenang Eurovision 2026

icon for Pemenang Eurovision 2026

Pemenang Eurovision 2026

Finlandia 44.5%

Yunani 14.0%

Denmark 11.4%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$159,198,162 Vol.

Finlandia 44.5%

Yunani 14.0%

Denmark 11.4%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$159,198,162 Vol.

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$4,694,293 Vol.

44%

icon for Yunani

Yunani

$3,911,185 Vol.

14%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,466,503 Vol.

11%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,782,489 Vol.

8%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,020,901 Vol.

5%

icon for Prancis

Prancis

$3,213,081 Vol.

4%

icon for Rumania

Rumania

$2,769,080 Vol.

3%

icon for Italia

Italia

$3,834,367 Vol.

2%

icon for Ukraina

Ukraina

$2,835,626 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$3,118,012 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$4,198,845 Vol.

1%

icon for Kroasia

Kroasia

$4,541,043 Vol.

1%

icon for Swedia

Swedia

$2,161,988 Vol.

1%

icon for Ceko

Ceko

$2,348,118 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,992,361 Vol.

1%

icon for Siprus

Siprus

$2,756,385 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$5,596,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$6,762,040 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luksemburg

Luksemburg

$3,763,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norwegia

Norwegia

$4,482,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polandia

Polandia

$6,445,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,368,791 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jerman

Jerman

$3,402,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$5,991,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$6,616,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$5,269,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for Swiss

Swiss

$5,756,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Inggris

Inggris

$3,610,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgia

Belgia

$5,059,227 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$6,715,777 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop fusion earning top OGAE poll scores and strong first-rehearsal staging that solidifies jury frontrunner status. Greece's Akylas climbs to 14% on "Ferto"'s raw televote appeal and buzz from Sing for Greece triumph plus recent media center previews critiquing themes of greed. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund secures 11.4% with the heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix ballad "Før vi går hjem," buoyed by Nordic momentum, while Australia's Delta Goodrem draws 8.1% via star power in "Eclipse." Post-rehearsal liquidity surges reflect these dynamics ahead of Vienna's Grand Final on May 16, though secret jury votes and televote swings keep upsets viable.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$159,198,162
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin"—a violin-pop fusion earning top OGAE poll scores and strong first-rehearsal staging that solidifies jury frontrunner status. Greece's Akylas climbs to 14% on "Ferto"'s raw televote appeal and buzz from Sing for Greece triumph plus recent media center previews critiquing themes of greed. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund secures 11.4% with the heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix ballad "Før vi går hjem," buoyed by Nordic momentum, while Australia's Delta Goodrem draws 8.1% via star power in "Eclipse." Post-rehearsal liquidity surges reflect these dynamics ahead of Vienna's Grand Final on May 16, though secret jury votes and televote swings keep upsets viable.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$159,198,162
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Eurovision 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 35 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Finlandia" di 44%, diikuti oleh "Yunani" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" telah menghasilkan $159.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 6, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Eurovision 2026," jelajahi 35 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" adalah "Finlandia" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Yunani" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Eurovision 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.