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icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

May 15

May 15

22% peluang
Polymarket

$745,037 Vol.

22% peluang
Polymarket

$745,037 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$745,037
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$745,038
Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 22% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 22¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 22% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" telah menghasilkan $745K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" adalah 22% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 22% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.