Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 Vol.
$90,556 Vol.
May 13, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 Vol.
$90,556 Vol.
May 13, 2026
18°C or below
$12,327 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,657 Vol.
No
20°C
$23,855 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,807 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,603 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$7,151 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,976 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,488 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,234 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,678 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$4,779 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$90,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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