Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 21°C high in Moscow on May 16, with 20°C close behind at comparable odds, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecast models amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, as reflected in services like yr.no (21°C max) and AccuWeather (24°C but with showers), show a spread due to variable cloud cover and potential afternoon precipitation following today's forecasted 19–24°C highs with thunderstorms. Southeasterly winds and lingering moisture from recent rains cap heating potential, while upper-level ridging supports above-average temps (May norms ~18–19°C). Key differentiator: model divergence on boundary layer mixing versus convective clouds, with resolution hinging on hourly observations from Vnukovo Airport; expect updates from Russian Hydrometcenter overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
22°C 16.3%
23°C or higher 13.6%
BARU
$11,444 Vol.
BARU
$11,444 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
22°C 16.3%
23°C or higher 13.6%
BARU
$11,444 Vol.
BARU
$11,444 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$681 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$950 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,548 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,837 Vol.
3%
19°C
$897 Vol.
4%
20°C
$319 Vol.
27%
21°C
$502 Vol.
29%
22°C
$488 Vol.
16%
23°C or higher
$2,265 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 21°C high in Moscow on May 16, with 20°C close behind at comparable odds, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecast models amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, as reflected in services like yr.no (21°C max) and AccuWeather (24°C but with showers), show a spread due to variable cloud cover and potential afternoon precipitation following today's forecasted 19–24°C highs with thunderstorms. Southeasterly winds and lingering moisture from recent rains cap heating potential, while upper-level ridging supports above-average temps (May norms ~18–19°C). Key differentiator: model divergence on boundary layer mixing versus convective clouds, with resolution hinging on hourly observations from Vnukovo Airport; expect updates from Russian Hydrometcenter overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$11,444Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 21°C high in Moscow on May 16, with 20°C close behind at comparable odds, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecast models amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, as reflected in services like yr.no (21°C max) and AccuWeather (24°C but with showers), show a spread due to variable cloud cover and potential afternoon precipitation following today's forecasted 19–24°C highs with thunderstorms. Southeasterly winds and lingering moisture from recent rains cap heating potential, while upper-level ridging supports above-average temps (May norms ~18–19°C). Key differentiator: model divergence on boundary layer mixing versus convective clouds, with resolution hinging on hourly observations from Vnukovo Airport; expect updates from Russian Hydrometcenter overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,444Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 21°C high in Moscow on May 16, with 20°C close behind at comparable odds, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecast models amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, as reflected in services like yr.no (21°C max) and AccuWeather (24°C but with showers), show a spread due to variable cloud cover and potential afternoon precipitation following today's forecasted 19–24°C highs with thunderstorms. Southeasterly winds and lingering moisture from recent rains cap heating potential, while upper-level ridging supports above-average temps (May norms ~18–19°C). Key differentiator: model divergence on boundary layer mixing versus convective clouds, with resolution hinging on hourly observations from Vnukovo Airport; expect updates from Russian Hydrometcenter overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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