Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
37°C or higher 90%
36°C 15%
35°C 3.3%
34°C 2.8%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
83%
37°C or higher 90%
36°C 15%
35°C 3.3%
34°C 2.8%
BARU
BARU
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$700 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$646 Vol.
1%
29°C
$678 Vol.
1%
30°C
$466 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$617 Vol.
1%
32°C
$463 Vol.
1%
33°C
$574 Vol.
1%
34°C
$460 Vol.
3%
35°C
$339 Vol.
3%
36°C
$426 Vol.
15%
37°C or higher
$146 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$5,515Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,515Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Jeddah recording a high of 37°C or higher (74.5%) on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting peak daytime temperatures near 38°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and intense solar insolation over the Arabian Peninsula. Recent observations reflect this positioning: after early May peaks of 41°C on May 6 followed by transient cooling to 33°C around May 10 amid passing weather disturbances, current Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance anticipates a rebound to above-average seasonal norms, where May highs typically average 37°C with rare cloud interference. Precise outcomes like 36°C (20.5%), 35°C (19.5%), and 34°C (19.5%) capture model spread uncertainties from coastal Red Sea influences on sea-breeze moderation. Daily 00Z/12Z model updates through May 16 will likely sharpen these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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