Current National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
31%
88°F or higher
56%
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
31%
88°F or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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