Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across Beijing have suppressed solar heating and promoted atmospheric cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 25°C or below at 100 percent. Official guidance from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing shows model consensus favoring stable, cooler conditions through the afternoon, consistent with historical May patterns when frontal systems limit daytime warming. Only a rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could briefly elevate temperatures above 26°C, though current ensemble runs assign negligible likelihood to such changes before evening observations finalize the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 16?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,611 Vol.
$82,611 Vol.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,611 Vol.
$82,611 Vol.
May 16, 2026
25°C or below
$14,686 Vol.
100%
26°C
$15,355 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,688 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,422 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,863 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,280 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,486 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,336 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,652 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across Beijing have suppressed solar heating and promoted atmospheric cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 25°C or below at 100 percent. Official guidance from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing shows model consensus favoring stable, cooler conditions through the afternoon, consistent with historical May patterns when frontal systems limit daytime warming. Only a rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could briefly elevate temperatures above 26°C, though current ensemble runs assign negligible likelihood to such changes before evening observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$82,611Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across Beijing have suppressed solar heating and promoted atmospheric cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 25°C or below at 100 percent. Official guidance from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing shows model consensus favoring stable, cooler conditions through the afternoon, consistent with historical May patterns when frontal systems limit daytime warming. Only a rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could briefly elevate temperatures above 26°C, though current ensemble runs assign negligible likelihood to such changes before evening observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,611Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across Beijing have suppressed solar heating and promoted atmospheric cooling, anchoring the market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 25°C or below at 100 percent. Official guidance from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing shows model consensus favoring stable, cooler conditions through the afternoon, consistent with historical May patterns when frontal systems limit daytime warming. Only a rapid shift to clearer skies or delayed rainfall could briefly elevate temperatures above 26°C, though current ensemble runs assign negligible likelihood to such changes before evening observations finalize the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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