Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
13%
33°C
36%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
34°C 32%
32°C 13%
35°C 5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$305 Vol.
1%
30°C
$281 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,014 Vol.
4%
32°C
$837 Vol.
13%
33°C
$74 Vol.
36%
34°C
$329 Vol.
32%
35°C
$1,469 Vol.
5%
36°C
$87 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$781 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$6,758Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Jakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,758Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHJakarta's equatorial location and early dry-season transition keep daily maximum temperatures tightly clustered around the 33–34°C range, with BMKG guidance projecting a 33°C peak for May 18 under mostly cloudy skies and light shower chances. These conditions suppress stronger diurnal heating while urban heat-island effects and high solar insolation provide a modest upward bias toward 34°C if afternoon clearing occurs. Short-range model consensus shows limited spread, but small timing shifts in convection or boundary-layer moisture could easily tip the official reading one degree either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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