Recent numerical weather models and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia maintaining mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, which support a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C in Ankara on May 16. This range aligns with the long-term May climatology for the city’s 890 m elevation, where average highs reach 21–22 °C but can vary by 1–2 °C due to diurnal heating rates, urban heat-island effects, and minor changes in boundary-layer moisture. With market-implied odds split closely between 20 °C and 21 °C, traders are weighing the uncertainty inherent in short-term forecast adjustments and the precise timing of peak solar heating. Official station readings at day’s end will determine the exact maximum and resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 43%
21°C 36%
19°C 20%
22°C 5%
$16,787 Vol.
$16,787 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
43%
21°C
36%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 43%
21°C 36%
19°C 20%
22°C 5%
$16,787 Vol.
$16,787 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
43%
21°C
36%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models and surface observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service show a stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia maintaining mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, which support a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C in Ankara on May 16. This range aligns with the long-term May climatology for the city’s 890 m elevation, where average highs reach 21–22 °C but can vary by 1–2 °C due to diurnal heating rates, urban heat-island effects, and minor changes in boundary-layer moisture. With market-implied odds split closely between 20 °C and 21 °C, traders are weighing the uncertainty inherent in short-term forecast adjustments and the precise timing of peak solar heating. Official station readings at day’s end will determine the exact maximum and resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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