Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on May 17 will likely peak near 19–20 °C under weakening northerly flow and gradual surface warming after an early-May cold anomaly. Ensemble spread remains modest, with some members favoring 18 °C if residual cloud cover and light precipitation linger, while others reach 21 °C under clearer, drier conditions. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May norms of 22–23 °C being tempered by the recent cool-air intrusion, leaving traders to weigh the narrow range of outcomes against final observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 14%
21°C 13%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 14%
21°C 13%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on May 17 will likely peak near 19–20 °C under weakening northerly flow and gradual surface warming after an early-May cold anomaly. Ensemble spread remains modest, with some members favoring 18 °C if residual cloud cover and light precipitation linger, while others reach 21 °C under clearer, drier conditions. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May norms of 22–23 °C being tempered by the recent cool-air intrusion, leaving traders to weigh the narrow range of outcomes against final observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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