Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,497 Vol.
$57,497 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,497 Vol.
$57,497 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$1,836 Vol.
No
22°C
$791 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,079 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,102 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,936 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,702 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,954 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,754 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,493 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,692 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$8,159 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$57,497Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,497Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecast of a 30°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 16 drives the market’s near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. A strengthening subtropical ridge is steering moist southerly flow across the region, while partly cloudy skies allow sufficient surface heating to reach but not exceed this threshold. Historical May climatology for northern Taiwan supports this range, with typical highs near 29–31°C under similar synoptic patterns. Real-time observational data from official stations continue to align with ensemble model consensus showing limited potential for additional warming. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in wind direction could still push readings to 31°C or higher before the daily peak is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan