Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 44%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 25%
92-93°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 44%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 25%
92-93°F 6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 88-89°F (43.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and global model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project peak afternoon heat in the upper 80s under a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup features light southerly winds delaying sea breeze development, abundant sunshine, and sinking air that suppresses cloud cover and thunderstorms, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 87°F at Miami International Airport. Nearby outcomes like 90-91°F (23.5%) and 86-87°F (22.5%) reflect uncertainty in exact sea breeze timing or isolated pop-up showers. Overnight forecast updates from NWS Miami will refine probabilities as observations from May 15 confirm the ridge's dominance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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