Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami International Airport point to a daily maximum near 86–88°F on May 17, driven by typical late-spring subtropical ridging, ample solar heating, and weak steering flow that favors isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These convective cells can briefly suppress temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings from climbing into the low 90s. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 85–87°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3°F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Updated model runs later today will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, providing the final data traders will use to adjust positions ahead of official resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
86-87°F 43%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5.5%
$16,699 Vol.
$16,699 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 43%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5.5%
$16,699 Vol.
$16,699 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus for Miami International Airport point to a daily maximum near 86–88°F on May 17, driven by typical late-spring subtropical ridging, ample solar heating, and weak steering flow that favors isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These convective cells can briefly suppress temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings from climbing into the low 90s. Historical climatology shows mid-May highs averaging 85–87°F with a standard deviation of roughly 3°F, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Updated model runs later today will refine boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, providing the final data traders will use to adjust positions ahead of official resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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