Current forecast guidance from ensemble models points to a daily high near 75–78°F in New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76–79°F range. High pressure aloft and light southerly flow favor boundary-layer warming, while a potential afternoon sea breeze at LaGuardia may cap readings in the mid-70s. These conditions exceed the May 16 climatological normal of 71.5°F yet remain within typical spring variability. Differences in simulated cloud cover and mixing depth across model runs explain the broad probability spread, with National Weather Service short-range updates expected to narrow uncertainty before the close of trading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 10.2%
BARU
$30,899 Vol.
BARU
$30,899 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 10.2%
BARU
$30,899 Vol.
BARU
$30,899 Vol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,917 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,590 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,454 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$4,304 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$3,516 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$2,603 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$2,850 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$3,443 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$2,456 Vol.
4%
84°F or higher
$1,465 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from ensemble models points to a daily high near 75–78°F in New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76–79°F range. High pressure aloft and light southerly flow favor boundary-layer warming, while a potential afternoon sea breeze at LaGuardia may cap readings in the mid-70s. These conditions exceed the May 16 climatological normal of 71.5°F yet remain within typical spring variability. Differences in simulated cloud cover and mixing depth across model runs explain the broad probability spread, with National Weather Service short-range updates expected to narrow uncertainty before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$30,899Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from ensemble models points to a daily high near 75–78°F in New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76–79°F range. High pressure aloft and light southerly flow favor boundary-layer warming, while a potential afternoon sea breeze at LaGuardia may cap readings in the mid-70s. These conditions exceed the May 16 climatological normal of 71.5°F yet remain within typical spring variability. Differences in simulated cloud cover and mixing depth across model runs explain the broad probability spread, with National Weather Service short-range updates expected to narrow uncertainty before the close of trading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,899Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from ensemble models points to a daily high near 75–78°F in New York City on May 16, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76–79°F range. High pressure aloft and light southerly flow favor boundary-layer warming, while a potential afternoon sea breeze at LaGuardia may cap readings in the mid-70s. These conditions exceed the May 16 climatological normal of 71.5°F yet remain within typical spring variability. Differences in simulated cloud cover and mixing depth across model runs explain the broad probability spread, with National Weather Service short-range updates expected to narrow uncertainty before the close of trading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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