Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 52%
12°C 25%
10°C 18%
9°C 5.3%
BARU
BARU
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
18%
11°C
52%
12°C
25%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 52%
12°C 25%
10°C 18%
9°C 5.3%
BARU
BARU
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$299 Vol.
1%
8°C
$359 Vol.
1%
9°C
$633 Vol.
5%
10°C
$756 Vol.
18%
11°C
$924 Vol.
52%
12°C
$621 Vol.
25%
13°C
$561 Vol.
4%
14°C
$265 Vol.
1%
15°C
$264 Vol.
1%
16°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$952 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$5,949Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,949Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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