Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 37°C under clear skies, persistent subtropical high pressure, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome. May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 37°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, though urban heat island effects in coastal Jeddah can amplify peaks. High uncertainty across the 33–39°C range stems from variable sea breeze strength, which could lower temps by 1–2°C via coastal mixing, or dust/haze reducing insolation for cooler outcomes like 36°C (20.5%); conversely, stronger subsidence might favor 38°C (20.0%) or 39°C+ (12.5%). Traders eye National Center of Meteorology hourly updates and King Abdulaziz Airport observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
37°C 30%
36°C 21%
38°C 20%
39°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
21%
37°C
30%
38°C
20%
39°C or higher
12%
37°C 30%
36°C 21%
38°C 20%
39°C or higher 12%
BARU
BARU
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
$922 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$881 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$881 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,267 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$809 Vol.
1%
34°C
$68 Vol.
2%
35°C
$107 Vol.
8%
36°C
$38 Vol.
21%
37°C
$148 Vol.
30%
38°C
$23 Vol.
20%
39°C or higher
$250 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 37°C under clear skies, persistent subtropical high pressure, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome. May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 37°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, though urban heat island effects in coastal Jeddah can amplify peaks. High uncertainty across the 33–39°C range stems from variable sea breeze strength, which could lower temps by 1–2°C via coastal mixing, or dust/haze reducing insolation for cooler outcomes like 36°C (20.5%); conversely, stronger subsidence might favor 38°C (20.0%) or 39°C+ (12.5%). Traders eye National Center of Meteorology hourly updates and King Abdulaziz Airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$5,395Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 37°C under clear skies, persistent subtropical high pressure, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome. May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 37°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, though urban heat island effects in coastal Jeddah can amplify peaks. High uncertainty across the 33–39°C range stems from variable sea breeze strength, which could lower temps by 1–2°C via coastal mixing, or dust/haze reducing insolation for cooler outcomes like 36°C (20.5%); conversely, stronger subsidence might favor 38°C (20.0%) or 39°C+ (12.5%). Traders eye National Center of Meteorology hourly updates and King Abdulaziz Airport observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,395Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated within the past 24 hours, project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 37°C under clear skies, persistent subtropical high pressure, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 30.5% implied probability for that outcome. May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 37°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, though urban heat island effects in coastal Jeddah can amplify peaks. High uncertainty across the 33–39°C range stems from variable sea breeze strength, which could lower temps by 1–2°C via coastal mixing, or dust/haze reducing insolation for cooler outcomes like 36°C (20.5%); conversely, stronger subsidence might favor 38°C (20.0%) or 39°C+ (12.5%). Traders eye National Center of Meteorology hourly updates and King Abdulaziz Airport observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan