MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 daytime high at 13°C under persistent southerly winds of 20-30 km/h advecting cool marine air across the region, with partly cloudy skies capping solar heating. Current observations from Wellington International Airport confirm temperatures lingering near 12-13°C, reinforcing trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for this outcome—well below the May climatological average of 14°C. Model agreement on subdued conditions stems from a stable high-pressure ridge steering cool southerlies. Realistic challenges include an abrupt wind shift to northerlies or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging peaks to 14°C, though low probability persists as the afternoon wanes; official station data will finalize resolution tonight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 15?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,549 Vol.
$53,549 Vol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,549 Vol.
$53,549 Vol.
May 15, 2026
13°C
$12,174 Vol.
100%
14°C
$9,437 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,606 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$7,773 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$3,911 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 daytime high at 13°C under persistent southerly winds of 20-30 km/h advecting cool marine air across the region, with partly cloudy skies capping solar heating. Current observations from Wellington International Airport confirm temperatures lingering near 12-13°C, reinforcing trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for this outcome—well below the May climatological average of 14°C. Model agreement on subdued conditions stems from a stable high-pressure ridge steering cool southerlies. Realistic challenges include an abrupt wind shift to northerlies or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging peaks to 14°C, though low probability persists as the afternoon wanes; official station data will finalize resolution tonight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$53,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 daytime high at 13°C under persistent southerly winds of 20-30 km/h advecting cool marine air across the region, with partly cloudy skies capping solar heating. Current observations from Wellington International Airport confirm temperatures lingering near 12-13°C, reinforcing trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for this outcome—well below the May climatological average of 14°C. Model agreement on subdued conditions stems from a stable high-pressure ridge steering cool southerlies. Realistic challenges include an abrupt wind shift to northerlies or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging peaks to 14°C, though low probability persists as the afternoon wanes; official station data will finalize resolution tonight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's May 15 daytime high at 13°C under persistent southerly winds of 20-30 km/h advecting cool marine air across the region, with partly cloudy skies capping solar heating. Current observations from Wellington International Airport confirm temperatures lingering near 12-13°C, reinforcing trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for this outcome—well below the May climatological average of 14°C. Model agreement on subdued conditions stems from a stable high-pressure ridge steering cool southerlies. Realistic challenges include an abrupt wind shift to northerlies or unexpected clearing, potentially nudging peaks to 14°C, though low probability persists as the afternoon wanes; official station data will finalize resolution tonight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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