Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a mild overnight period for Tokyo on May 19, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 18°C and 20°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the typical nocturnal drop seen in early May. These conditions contrast with historical climatology, where average lows hover near 15–17°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C rather than cooler outcomes. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum as land-breeze effects and any transient cloud cover become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 19?
19°C 35%
18°C 18%
20°C 15%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 18%
20°C 15%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
$118 Vol.
1%
15°C
$136 Vol.
1%
16°C
$56 Vol.
1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$6 Vol.
28%
20°C
$33 Vol.
22%
21°C
$21 Vol.
20%
22°C
$23 Vol.
5%
23°C
$57 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$207 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a mild overnight period for Tokyo on May 19, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 18°C and 20°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the typical nocturnal drop seen in early May. These conditions contrast with historical climatology, where average lows hover near 15–17°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C rather than cooler outcomes. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum as land-breeze effects and any transient cloud cover become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$672Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a mild overnight period for Tokyo on May 19, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 18°C and 20°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the typical nocturnal drop seen in early May. These conditions contrast with historical climatology, where average lows hover near 15–17°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C rather than cooler outcomes. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum as land-breeze effects and any transient cloud cover become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$672Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a mild overnight period for Tokyo on May 19, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 18°C and 20°C. Stable high-pressure ridging and southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the typical nocturnal drop seen in early May. These conditions contrast with historical climatology, where average lows hover near 15–17°C, and explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 18–20°C rather than cooler outcomes. Updated ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum as land-breeze effects and any transient cloud cover become clearer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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