Recent National Weather Service and model guidance from the Global Forecast System point to a cool overnight period in New York City on May 20, with radiational cooling under partly clear skies expected to drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 50s°F. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average lows hover near 52–55°F before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward sub-63°F outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or a delayed frontal passage could nudge readings a few degrees higher. Updated short-range runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on May 20?
63°F or below 71%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
63°F or below
71%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
5%
82°F or higher
4%
63°F or below 71%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 19%
63°F or below
71%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
5%
82°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance from the Global Forecast System point to a cool overnight period in New York City on May 20, with radiational cooling under partly clear skies expected to drive the daily minimum into the low-to-mid 50s°F. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average lows hover near 52–55°F before seasonal warming accelerates later in the month. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward sub-63°F outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or a delayed frontal passage could nudge readings a few degrees higher. Updated short-range runs from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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