Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to maximum temperatures of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating above the seasonal climatological mean of roughly 19°C, though persistent marine air and limited insolation from variable cloud cover are expected to cap peaks near 21°C rather than permitting stronger warming toward 23°C. Model consensus shows no significant frontal passages or heat advection in the next 48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from the Cape Town International Airport station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
27%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 18%
20°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
27%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to maximum temperatures of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating above the seasonal climatological mean of roughly 19°C, though persistent marine air and limited insolation from variable cloud cover are expected to cap peaks near 21°C rather than permitting stronger warming toward 23°C. Model consensus shows no significant frontal passages or heat advection in the next 48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on final observations from the Cape Town International Airport station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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