Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, supported by an approaching low-pressure trough that maintains persistent cloud cover and limits daytime heating across the region. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature rise under elevated humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms near 27–28°C but tempered by these transient conditions. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 25°C because official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal upside risk for intensification, with only narrow windows for localized urban heating to push readings marginally higher. Final resolution hinges on the Observatory’s 24-hour maximum at the King’s Park reference station, where any unexpected clearing could introduce modest uncertainty but remains unlikely given the entrenched synoptic setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$206,890 Vol.
$206,890 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$206,890 Vol.
$206,890 Vol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$18,062 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$11,752 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$11,992 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$36,373 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$39,000 Vol.
100%
26°C
$21,623 Vol.
1%
27°C
$24,816 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$14,555 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$18,562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, supported by an approaching low-pressure trough that maintains persistent cloud cover and limits daytime heating across the region. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature rise under elevated humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms near 27–28°C but tempered by these transient conditions. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 25°C because official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal upside risk for intensification, with only narrow windows for localized urban heating to push readings marginally higher. Final resolution hinges on the Observatory’s 24-hour maximum at the King’s Park reference station, where any unexpected clearing could introduce modest uncertainty but remains unlikely given the entrenched synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$206,890Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, supported by an approaching low-pressure trough that maintains persistent cloud cover and limits daytime heating across the region. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature rise under elevated humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms near 27–28°C but tempered by these transient conditions. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 25°C because official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal upside risk for intensification, with only narrow windows for localized urban heating to push readings marginally higher. Final resolution hinges on the Observatory’s 24-hour maximum at the King’s Park reference station, where any unexpected clearing could introduce modest uncertainty but remains unlikely given the entrenched synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$206,890Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, supported by an approaching low-pressure trough that maintains persistent cloud cover and limits daytime heating across the region. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited diurnal temperature rise under elevated humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms near 27–28°C but tempered by these transient conditions. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 25°C because official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal upside risk for intensification, with only narrow windows for localized urban heating to push readings marginally higher. Final resolution hinges on the Observatory’s 24-hour maximum at the King’s Park reference station, where any unexpected clearing could introduce modest uncertainty but remains unlikely given the entrenched synoptic setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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