Current observational data and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on May 16 will likely settle near 29–31 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge combined with scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This atmospheric setup aligns closely with historical May climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover around 28 °C with modest variability from cloud and wind influences. Traders have priced 31 °C at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow envelope of model consensus and the absence of strong warming signals in the latest runs. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected strengthening of southerly advection could push readings to 32 °C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
31°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,953 Vol.
$45,953 Vol.
May 16, 2026
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,953 Vol.
$45,953 Vol.
May 16, 2026
31°C
$8,106 Vol.
99%
32°C
$6,327 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,589 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,814 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on May 16 will likely settle near 29–31 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge combined with scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This atmospheric setup aligns closely with historical May climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover around 28 °C with modest variability from cloud and wind influences. Traders have priced 31 °C at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow envelope of model consensus and the absence of strong warming signals in the latest runs. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected strengthening of southerly advection could push readings to 32 °C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$45,953Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on May 16 will likely settle near 29–31 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge combined with scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This atmospheric setup aligns closely with historical May climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover around 28 °C with modest variability from cloud and wind influences. Traders have priced 31 °C at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow envelope of model consensus and the absence of strong warming signals in the latest runs. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected strengthening of southerly advection could push readings to 32 °C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,953Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on May 16 will likely settle near 29–31 °C, driven by moderate southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge combined with scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This atmospheric setup aligns closely with historical May climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover around 28 °C with modest variability from cloud and wind influences. Traders have priced 31 °C at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow envelope of model consensus and the absence of strong warming signals in the latest runs. Only a rapid clearing of cloud cover or an unexpected strengthening of southerly advection could push readings to 32 °C or higher before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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