Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul’s daily maximum will peak at 24 °C today, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal warm-air advection that keeps temperatures below the May climatological average. This strong data consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified station readings and model agreement on limited diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day surge from localized urban heat-island effects or a revised official measurement exceeding 24 °C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$290,660 Vol.
$290,660 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C or higher <1%
$290,660 Vol.
$290,660 Vol.
24°C
100%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul’s daily maximum will peak at 24 °C today, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and minimal warm-air advection that keeps temperatures below the May climatological average. This strong data consensus underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 24 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified station readings and model agreement on limited diurnal heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day surge from localized urban heat-island effects or a revised official measurement exceeding 24 °C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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